Journal
Articles
Ford, D. and J. Sterman (2003).
"Overcoming the 90% Syndrome:
Iteration Management in Concurrent
Development Projects."
Concurrent Engineering:
Research and Applications
11(3) 177-186.
Ford,
D. and J. Sterman (2003). "The
Liar's Club: Concealing Rework
in Concurrent Development."
Concurrent Engineering: Research
and Applications 11(3),
211-220.
Oliva,
R., J. D. Sterman, et al. (2003).
"Limits to Growth in the
New Economy: Exploring the 'Get
Big Fast' Strategy in e-commerce."
System Dynamics Review
19(2), 83-117.
Repenning,
N. and J. D. Sterman (2003).
"E' difficile creare interesse
resolvendo problemi che nonsi
sono mai manifestati."
Quaderni di Management
2 (March-April), 70-97. (translation
of Repenning and Sterman 2001).
Sterman,
J. (2002). All Models are Wrong:
Reflections on Becoming a Systems
Scientist: 2002 Jay W. Forrester
Award Address System Dynamics
Review 18(4) 2002: 501-531.
Repenning,
N. and J. Sterman (2002). "Capability
Traps and Self-Confirming Attribution
Errors in the Dynamics of Process
Improvement." Administrative
Science Quarterly. 47,
265-295.
Sterman,
J., ed. (2002). The Global
Citizen: Celebrating the Life
of Dana Meadows. System
Dynamics Review. 18(2), Summer
2002 (Guest Editor, special
issue).
Repenning,
N. and J. Sterman (2002). "Nobody
Ever Gets Credit for Fixing
Problems that Never Happened."
IEEE Engineering Management
Review 30(4): 64-78. Originally
published in Calif. Management
Review, 2001 (Winner, 2001
Accenture Prize for Best Paper
in Calif. Mgt. Rev.)
Sterman,
J. D. (2002). "System Dynamics
Modeling: Tools for Learning
in a Complex World." IEEE
Engineering Management Review
30(1): 42-52. Originally published
in Calif. Management Review,
2001.
Sterman,
J. D. (2002). "Dana Meadows:
Thinking Globally, Acting Locally."
System Dynamics Review
18(2) 101-107.
Sterman,
J. D. and L. Booth Sweeney (2002).
"Cloudy Skies: Assessing
Public Understanding of Global
Warming." System Dynamics
Review 18(2), 207-240.
Sterman,
J. D. (2002). System Dynamics
Modeling for Project Management.
Projects and Profits.
II: 46-50.
Oliva,
R. and J. Sterman (2001). “Cutting
Corners and Working Overtime:
Quality Erosion in the Service
Industry.” Management
Science. 47(7), 894-914.
Sterman,
J. (2001). “System Dynamics
Modeling: Tools for Learning
in a Complex World.” California
Management Review 43(4):
8-25.
Repenning,
N. and J. Sterman (2001). “Nobody
Ever Gets Credit for Fixing
Problems that Never Happened:
Creating and Sustaining Process
Improvement.” California
Management Review 43(4):
64-88. Winner, 2001 Accenture
Award for best paper published
in CMR.
Sweeney,
L. and Sterman, J. (2000) Bathtub
Dynamics: Initial Results of
a Systems Thinking Inventory,
System Dynamics Review,
16(4), 249-294.
Sterman,
J. (2000) Learning in and About
Complex Systems. Reflections
(The Journal of the Society
for Organizational Learning).
1(3), 24-29.
Sterman,
J. D., & Wittenberg, J.
(1999). Path Dependence, Competition
and Succession in the Dynamics
of Scientific Revolution. Organization
Science. 10(3), 322-341.
Keating,
E., R. Oliva, N. Repenning,
S. Rockart, and J. Sterman (1999)
Overcoming the Improvement Paradox,
European Management Journal
17(2), 120-134.
Ford,
D., & Sterman, J. (1998).
Expert Knowledge Elicitation
for Improving Mental and Formal
Models. System Dynamics
Review. 14(4), 309-340.
Ford,
D. N., & Sterman, J. D.
(1998). Dynamic Modeling of
Product Development Processes.
System Dynamics Review,
14(1), 31-68.
Sterman,
J. D., Repenning, N., &
Kofman, F., (1997). Unanticipated
Side Effects of Successful Quality
Improvement Programs: Exploring
a paradox of organizational
improvement. Management
Science. 43(4), April,
503-521.
Cavaleri,
S., & Sterman, J. (1997).
Towards Evaluation of Systems
Thinking Interventions: A Case
Study. System Dynamics Review.
13(2).
Risch,
J., Troyano-Bermúdez,
L., & Sterman, J. D. (1995).
Designing Corporate Strategy
with System Dynamics: A Case
Study in the Pulp and Paper
Industry. System Dynamics
Review, 11(4), 249-274.
Diehl,
E., & Sterman, J. D. (1995).
Effects of Feedback Complexity
on Dynamic Decision Making.
Organizational Behavior
and Human Decision Processes,
62(2), 198-215.
Haxholdt,
C., Kampmann, C., Mosekilde,
E., & Sterman, J. D (1995)
Mode Locking and Entrainment
of Endogenous Economic Cycles.
System Dynamics Review.
11(3), 177-198.
Sterman,
J. D. (1994) Learning in and
about Complex Systems. System
Dynamics Review. 10 (2-3),
291-330.
Paich,
M., & Sterman, J. D. (1993).
Boom, Bust, and Failures to
Learn in Experimental Markets.
Management Science. 39(12),
1439-1458.
Graham,
A. K., Morecroft, J. D., Senge,
P. M., & Sterman, J. D.
(1992), Model Supported Case
Studies for Management Education.
European Journal of Operational
Research. 59(1), 151-166.
Sterman,
J. D. (1992). Teaching Takes
Off: Flight Simulators for Management
Education. OR/MS Today
(October), 40-44.
Sterman,
J. D. (1992). Long Wave Decline
and the Politics of Depression.
Bank Credit Analyst,
44(4), 26-42.
Sterman,
J. D., 1990, A long Wave Perspective
on the Economy in the 1990s.
Bank Credit Analyst.
42(1), 28-47.
Davidsen,
P., J. Sterman, and G. Richardson,
1990. A Petroleum Life Cycle
Model for the United States
with Endogenous Technology,
Exploration, Recovery, and Demand.
System Dynamics Review.
6(1), 66-93.
Sterman,
J., 1989a. Misperceptions of
Feedback in Dynamic Decision
Making. Organizational Behavior
and Human Decision Processes.
43(3), 301-335.
Sterman,
J., 1989b. Modeling Managerial
Behavior: Misperceptions of
Feedback in a Dynamic Decision
Making Experiment. Management
Science. 35(3), 321-339.
Sterman,
J., 1989c. Deterministic Chaos
in an Experimental Economic
System Journal of Economic
Behavior and Organization.
12, 1-28.
Ozveren,
C. and J. Sterman, 1989. Control
Theory Heuristics for Improving
the Behavior of Economic Models.
System Dynamics Review.
5(2), 130-147.
Sterman,
J., 1988a. Modeling the Formation
of Expectations: The History
of Energy Demand Forecasts.
International Journal of
Forecasting. 4, 243-259.
Sterman,
J., 1988b. Deterministic Chaos
in Models of Human Behavior:
Methodological Issues and Experimental
Results. System Dynamics
Review. 4, 148-178.
Sterman,
J., G. Richardson, P. Davidsen,
1988. Modeling the Estimation
of Petroleum Resources in the
United States. Technological
Forecasting and Social Change.
33(3) 219-249.
Sterman,
J., 1987a. Testing Behavioral
Simulation Models by Direct
Experiment. Management Science.
33(12), 1572-1592.
Sterman,
J., 1987b. Expectation Formation
in Behavioral Simulation Models.
Behavioral Science.
32, 190-211.
Sterman,
J., 1986a. The Economic Long
Wave: Theory and Evidence. System
Dynamics Review. 2(2),
87-125.
Sterman,
J., 1986b. Debt, Default, and
Long Waves: Is History Relevant?
Bank Credit Analyst.
38(5), 28-42.
Sterman,
J., 1985a. A Behavioral Model
of the Economic Long Wave Journal
of Economic Behavior and Organization.
6, 17-53.
Sterman,
J., 1985b. An Integrated Theory
of the Economic Long Wave. Futures.
17, 104-131.
Sterman,
J., 1985c. The Growth of Knowledge:
Testing a Theory of Scientific
Revolutions with a Formal Model.
Technological Forecasting and
Social Change. 28(2) 93-122.
Rasmussen,
S., E. Mosekilde, and J. Sterman,
1985. Bifurcations and Chaotic
Behavior in a Simple Model of
the Economic Long Wave. System
Dynamics Review. 1(1) 92-110.
Sterman,
J., and G. Richardson, 1985a.
An Experiment to Evaluate Methods
for Estimating Fossil Fuel Resources.
Journal of Forecasting.
4(2), 197-226.
Sterman,
J. and D. L. Meadows, 1985a.
STRATEGEM-2: A Microcomputer
Simulation Game of the Kondratiev
Cycle. Simulation and Games.
16(2), 174-202.
Wang,
Q. and J. Sterman, 1985. A Disaggregate
Population Model of China. Simulation.
45(1) 7-14.
Sterman,
J., 1984a. Appropriate Summary
Statistics for Evaluating the
Historical Fit of System Dynamics
Models. Dynamica. 10(2)
51-66.
Sterman,
J., 1983a. Economic Vulnerability
and the Energy Transition. Energy
Systems and Policy. 7(4),
259-301.
Sterman,
J., 1982a. A Dynamic, Disequilibrium
Model of Energy-Economy Interactions.
International Journal of
Energy Systems. 2(3) 159-163.
Maloney,
S. and J. Sterman, 1982. Policy
Analysis of the Low-Level Radioactive
Waste-Disposal Problem in the
United States. Nuclear Safety.
23(3) 300-309.
Chapters in Edited Volumes
Sterman, J. D. and L. Booth
Sweeney (forthcoming). Managing
Complex Dynamic Systems: Challenge
and Opportunity for Naturalistic
Decision Making Theory. How
professionals make decisions.
H Montgomery (ed). Mahwah, NJ,
Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.
Sterman,
J. D. (forthcoming). Market
Growth, Collapse, and Failures
to Learn from Interactive Simulation
Games. Encyclopedia of Life
Support Systems, Paris;
Oxford, UNESCO Publishing-EOLSS
Publishers.
Sterman,
J. D. (forthcoming). Supply
Chain Dynamics, the 'Beer Distribution
Game' and Misperceptions in
Dynamic Decision Making. Encyclopedia
of Life Support Systems,
Paris; Oxford, UNESCO Publishing-EOLSS
Publishers.
Sterman,
J. D. (2002). “A Behavioral
Model of the Economic Long Wave,”
in. The Legacy of Herbert
Simon in Economic Analysis.
P. E. Earl. (ed.), Cheltenham,
UK, Edward Elgar, 101-140. Reprinted
from J. Econ. Beh. and Org.
(1985).
Repenning,
N. P., & Sterman, J. D.
(2000). Getting Quality the
Old Fashioned Way: Self-Confirming
Attributions in the Dynamics
of Process Improvement. In Scott,
R. & Cole, R. (Eds.), The
Quality Movement in America:
Lessons for Theory and Research
. Newbury Park, CA: Sage, 201-235.
Paich,
M. and J. Sterman (2000). Boom,
bust, and failures to learn
in expermental markets. Strategisches
Management im Zeichen von Umbruch
und Wandel (Festchrift
for Erich Zahn). S. Foschiani,
W. Habenicht, U. Schmid and
G. Waescher, eds. Stuttgart,
Schäffer-Poeschel Verlag,
117-150. Reprinted from Management
Science.
Oliva,
R., Rockart, S., & Sterman,
J. D. (1998). Managing Multiple
Improvement Efforts. In Goush,
S. (Eds.), Advances in the
Management of Organizational
Quality , Vol 3. Stamford,
CT: JAI Press, 1-55.
Carroll,
J. S., Sterman, J. D., &
Marcus, A. A. (1998). Playing
the Maintenance Game: How Mental
Models Drive Organizational
Decisions. In Stern, R. R. &
Halpern, J. J. (Eds.), Nonrational
Elements of Organizational Decision
Making Ithaca, NY: Cornell
University Press, 99-121.
Mosekilde,
E., & Sterman, J. D. (1994).
Business Cycles and Long Waves.
In Semmler, W. (Ed.), Business
Cycles: Theory and Empirical
Methods. Kluwer Academic
Publishers, 13-51.
Radzicki,
M. S., & Sterman, J. D.
(1994). Evolutionary Economics
and System Dynamics. In Englund,
R. (Ed.), Evolutionary Concepts
in Contemporary Economics.
Ann Arbor: University of Michigan
Press, 61-89.
Kampmann,
C., Haxholdt, C., Modekilde,
E., & Sterman, J. D. (1993).
Entrainment in a Disaggregated
Long Wave Model. In Leydesdorff,
L. v. (Eds.), Evolutionary
Economics and Chaos Theory
Pinter.
Sterman,
J. D. (1994) “Beyond Training
Wheels,” in Senge, Peter
et al. (eds.) The Fifth
Discipline Fieldbook. New
York: Doubleday/Currency, 177-184.
Mosekilde,
E., Larsen, E. R., Sterman,
J. D., & Thomsen, J. S.
(1993). Mode Locking and Nonlinear
Entrainment of Macroeconomic
Cycles. In Day, R. & Chen,
P. (Eds.), Nonlinear Economics
and Evolutionary Economics
New York: Oxford University
Press.
Mosekilde,
E., Larsen, E. R., & Sterman,
J. D., 1991. Coping with complexity:
Deterministic chaos in human
decisionmaking behavior. In
Casti, J. L. & Karlqvist,
A. (Eds.), Beyond Belief:
Randomness, Prediction, and
Explanation in Science
(199-229). Boston: CRC Press.
Thomsen,
J. S., Mosekilde, E., &
Sterman, J. D., 1991. Hyperchaotic
Phenomena in Dynamic Decision
Making. In Singh, M. G. a. T.-M.,
L. (Eds.), Decision Support
Systems and Qualitative Reasoning
(149-154). Amsterdam: Elsevier
Science Publishers.
Senge,
P., & Sterman, J. D. (1991).
Systems Thinking and Organizational
Learning: Acting Locally and
Thinking Globally in the Organization
of the Future. In Kochan, T.
& Useem, M. (Eds.), Transforming
Organizations Oxford: Oxford
University Press, 353-371.
Graham,
A., P. Senge, J. Sterman, and
J. Morecroft, 1989. Computer-Based
Case Studies in Management Education
and Research. In Milling, P.
and E. Zahn (eds), Computer
Based Management of Complex
Systems. Berlin: Springer
Verlag, 317-326.
Sterman,
J., 1988c. Nonlinear Dynamics
in the World Economy: The Economic
Long Wave, in P. Christiansen
and R. Parmentier (eds.) Structure,
Coherence, and Chaos in Dynamical
Systems. Manchester: Manchester
University Press.
Sterman,
J., 1988d. A Skeptic's Guide
to Computer Models, in L. Grant,
Foresight and National Decisions.
Lanham, MD: University Press
of America, 133-169. Revised
and Reprinted in: Barney, G.,
Kreutzer W., and Garrett, M.
(1991) Managing a Nation.
Boulder, CO: Westciew Press,
209-230.
Sterman,
J., 1987c. The Economic Long
Wave: Theory and Evidence, in
T. Vasko (ed.) The Long
Wave Debate. Berlin: Springer
Verlag, 127-161.
Sterman,
J., 1987d. Debt, Default, and
Long Waves: Is History Relevant?
in Bank Credit Analyst (ed.)
The Escalation in Debt and
Disinflation: Prelude to Financial
Mania and Crash? Montreal:
BCA Publications.
Other
Sterman, J. D. (2001). Fine-Tuning
Your Causal Loop Diagrams, Part
I. The Systems Thinker 12(5):
6-7.
Sterman,
J. D. (2001). Fine-Tuning Your
Causal Loop Diagrams, Part II.
The Systems Thinker 12(6):
6-7.
Sterman,
J. D. (1997). Superstitious
Learning. The Systems Thinker,
8(5), 1-5.
Sterman,
J. D. (1994). The Meaning of
Models. Science, 264(15
April), 329-330.
Morecroft,
J. and J. Sterman, eds. (1992)
Modelling for Learning. Special
issue of European Journal
of Operational Research.
59(1).
Sterman,
J. 1993. Caught by the Long
Wave. Toronto Globe and
Mail, 20 February.
Sterman,
J., 1983. The Long Wave. Science.
219 (18 March), 1276.
Computer
Software & Management Flight
Simulators
Sterman, J. 2002 B &
B Enterprises Management Flight
Simulator. Available at
www.forio.com.
Sterman,
J., 1988. People Express
Management Flight Simulator.
Software and Briefing Book.
Available from Global Strategy
Dynamics www.strategydynamics.com.
Sterman,
J. D. and B. Bakken 1993. Commercial
Real Estate Management Flight
Simulator. Software (for
Macintosh) and Briefing Book.
Available from author, Sloan
School of Management, MIT E53-351,
Cambridge MA 02142.
Sterman,
J. D., and B. Bakken 1993.
International Oil Tanker Management
Flight Simulator. Software
(for Macintosh) and Briefing
Book. Available from author,
Sloan School of Management,
MIT E53-351 Cambridge MA 02142.
Sterman,
J. D., & Fiddaman, T. (1993)
The Beer Distribution Game
Flight Simulator. Software
(for Macintosh) and Briefing
Book. Available from author,
Sloan School of Management,
MIT E53-351 Cambridge MA 02142.
Sterman
J., 1985. STRATAGEM-2: A
Microcomputer Simulation of
the Kondratiev Cycle. Software
(for Macintosh or IBM) and Briefing
Book. Available from author,
Sloan School of Management,
MIT E53-351, Cambridge MA 02142.
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