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Journal Articles and Reprints since 1972 by Richard de Neufville

Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Engineering Systems

 

Airports Systems Planning and Design

Dynamic Strategic Planning, Decision Analysis and Systems Analysis

Transportation Systems Planning and Design

Technology and Policy
 

Airport Systems Planning

"Optimal Use of Transporters in the Design of Airport Terminals," (with Moore and Yaney), International Civil Airport Association, June 1972.

"Airport Access -- A Cost-Effective Analysis" (with Meirzejewski), ASCE Transportation Engineering Journal, 98, TE3, August, pp. 663-678, 1972.

--Reprinted in Book: Airport Economic Planning, Howard, ed., MIT Press, 1974.

"Research Needs for Airport Terminal Planning," ASCE Transportation Engineering Journal, 99, TE4, November, pp. 863-870, 1973.

"Design of Air Transportation Networks" (with Gordon), Transportation Research, 7, No. 2, pp. 1-16, 1973.

"Planning for Satellite Airports" (with Gelerman), ASCE Transportation Engineering Journal, 99, TE3, August, pp. 537-552, 1973.

"Optimal Pricing for Air Transport Networks" (with Mira), Transportation Research, 8, September, pp. 1-11, 1974.

"Gate Arrival Terminals--A Solution for Air Cargo?" (with Chin and Rebelo), ASCE Transportation Engineering Journal, 102, No. TE1, February 1976, pp. 47-60.

"Don't Forget the Passenger!" Airport Forum, 3, June 1976.

"Airport Systems Planning," Airports International, June/July 1976.

"Rationalization of the European Air Net," (with Gordon), Transportation Research, ll, No. 4, pp. 235-244, 1977.

"Designing Airport Terminals for Transportation Passengers," (with Rusconi-Clerici), ASCE Transportation Engineering Journal, 104, No. TE4, November 1978, pp. 775-787.

"Access, Fares and Frequency: Effects on Airport Traffic," (with C. King), ASCE Transportation Engineering Journal, 105, TE2, March 1979, pp. 109-126.

"Forecasting Airport Traffic: Mexico City as a Case Study," (with S. Zuniga, A. Kanafani, and A. Olivera), Transportation Research Record, 732, pp. 24-29, 1980.

"Design of Pedestrian Space in Airport Terminals," (with M. Grillot) ASCE Transportation Engineering Journal, 108, TE1, January 1982, pp. 87-102.

"Airport Passenger Parking Design," ASCE Journal of Urban Transportation Division, 108, May 1982, pp. 302-306.

"Multiairport Systems -- How do they work best?" Airport Forum, June 1984, pp. 55-59.

"Planning for Multiple Airports in a Metropolitan Region," Built Environment (special issue), Vol.10, No. 3, 1984, pp. 159-167.

"Air Cargo in the 1980's and Beyond: A Manual for Planners" (with F. Jacques), FAA Report, September 1984, NTIS.

"Systèmes Métropolitains d'Aéroports -- comment fonctionnent-ils le mieux?" Cahiers de Transport, no. 300, January. 1985, pp. 25-30.

"The Challenge to Airport Planning and Financing in a Deregulated Environment," Office of Technology Assessment Report, April 1985.

Second Sydney Airport: Site Selection Programme, Australian Department of Aviation, 1985. Chapter 1, "Requirement to Reserve a Site," Chapter 2, "Role and Nature of a Second Airport", pp.35-66.

"Multi-Airport Systems in Metropolitan Regions: A guide for Policy," FAA Report, March 1986, NTIS.

"Deregulation of Air Transport -- Lessons from North America," Developing European Regional Air Transport - The next Ten Years, International Conference Proceedings, The Royal Aeronautical Society, London, 1986, pp. 6-23.

"The Revolution in Air Cargo -- Lessons from America," Airport Forum, pp. 55-59, 1986.

"La déreglementation du Transport Aérien -- les leçons de l'experience américaine," I.T.A. Bulletin, Paris, No. 44, July-Aug 1987, pp. 3-8 (Special Issue on Deregulation and Protectionism).

"Le Cas Américain," Les Aérovilles: Nouveau Concept d'Intercommunication et de Localisation d'Entreprises", Cahiers du CREPIF, 27, June 1989.

"Successful Siting of Airports; The Sydney Example", ASCE Journal of Transportation Engineering, Vol.116, February 1990.

Proposed Third Runway: Sydney (Kingsford Smith) Airport Draft Environmental Impact Statement, Federal Airports Corp., Australia. Chapter 5, "Airport Systems Alternatives", 1990.

"Deregulation induced Volatility of Airport Traffic," (with J. Barber) Transportation Planning and Technology, Vol.16 pp. 117-128, 1991.

"International Airports in Japan," lead article, AERA, No.40, Sept.24, 1991, pp. .6-9. (in Japanese)

"Understanding and Using Forecasts", foreword to Passenger Forecasts for Logan International Airport, Massport, pp. 1-13, 1991.

"Airport Construction -- The Japanese Way," Civil Engineering, Geotechnical Issue, December, pp. 71-74, 1991.

"Strategic Planning for Airport Capacity: An Appreciation of Australia's Process for Sydney," Australian Planner, Vol. 29, No.4, Dec., pp. 174-180, 1991.

"Passenger Terminal Design," (with A. Odoni) Transportation Research, Vol.26A, No 1, pp. 27-35, 1992.

"Assessment of the "Flight Plan" forecasts for Seattle/Tacoma and regional airports, together with reflections on the proper basis for Airport Planning," Report prepared for the State of Washington Air Transportation Commission, 1992.

"Planning Multi-Airport Systems in Metropolitan Regions in the 1990's," Final Report for the US Federal Aviation Administration, DTFA01-92-P-012433, May 1994.

"Economic and Complementary Criteria for the Selection of Investments in Airport Projects," Final Report for the US Federal Aviation Administration, DTRS-57-92-P-81083, December 1994.

-- Reprinted in:

Public Investment in the Aviation Transportation Infrastructure, Report 55, Special Workshop Sponsored by the Transportation Research Board, Committee on Airfield and Airspace Capacity and Delay, Oct., pp. 43-82, 1994.

"The Baggage System at Denver: Prospects and Lessons," Journal of Air Transport Management, Vol.1, No.4, Dec., pp. 229-236, 1994.

"Designing Airport Passenger Buildings for the 21st.Century," Transport Journal, UK Institution of Civil Engineers, Vol.111, May, pp. 83-96, 1995.

"Management of Multi-Airport Systems: A Development Strategy," Proceedings of Airports 95 Conference, Sydney, Australia, 9-11 Oct., pp. 1-13, 1995.

"Management of Multi-Airport Systems: A Development Strategy," Journal of Air Transport Management, Vol.2, No. 2, June, pp. 99-110, 1995.

"Policy Guidelines for the Option of a Development of a Multi-Airport System, the basis of a Dynamic Strategic Plan to provide the capability for flexible response to future challenges," Report Prepared for Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, Netherlands, 1995.

"Optimal Configuration of Complexes of Large Airport Passenger Buildings and their Internal Transport Systems," Proceedings, Airports of the Future, International Symposium Nov. 1995, Académie Nationale de l'Air et de l'Espace, Cépaduès Editions, Paris, pp. 342-352, 1996.

"Policy Guidelines for the Development of Multiple Airports Systems in Major Metropolitan Areas" (In Japanese) Issues and Direction of Transport Policy for the 21st Century, Proceedings of the International Symposium for the Commemoration of the Establishment of Institute for Transport Policy Studies, Tokyo, August 1996, pp. 21-27.

"Benchmarking Major Airports Worldwide," (with Javier Rojas Guzman), ASCE Journal of Transportation Engineering, TN 11639, Vol. 124, No. 4, July/August 1998.

"Airport Privatization: Issues for the United States," Safety, Economic, Environmental, and Technical Issues in Air Transportation, Transportation Research Record 1662, Paper 99.0218, pp. 24-31, 1999.

"Airports in the 21st.Century, Prospects for the Future", Report for the US Federal Aviation Administration, presented at:

  • Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting, January 2000 
  • Federal Aviation Administration Conference, National Academy of Sciences, April 2000 
  • University of California, Berkeley, Professional Short Course on Airport Systems Planning, May, 2000.

"Airport Passenger Buildings: Efficiency through Shared Use of  Facilities," (with Steven Belin), ASCE Journal of Transportation Engineering, Vol. 128, No.3, May/June 2002, pp. 211-217.

"Optimal Configuration of Airport Passenger Buildings for Travelers," (with Alexandre de Barros and Steven Belin), ASCE Journal of Transportation Engineering, Vol. 128, No.3, May/June 2002, pp. 211-217.

"Airport Systems Development: An Exploration of the Difficulties in the Diffusion of Innovation," in Rethinking Science Systems and Innovation, Vol. 8, Technology Policy and Innovation (in press for 2003)


 
Dynamic Strategic Planning, Decision Analysis and Systems Analysis

"Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Civil Engineering Systems -- New York City's Primary Water Supply System," Operations Research, 13, No. 5, September-October, pp. 758-804,1970.

--Reprinted in Books:

  • Emerging Methods in Environmental Design and Planning, Moore, ed., MIT Press, 1970. 
  • Systems Behavior, Beishon and Peters, eds., Harper and Row, 1972. 
  • Decision and Risk Analysis for Practicing Engineers, Lifson, ed., Barnes and Noble, 1972. 
  • Environmental Design and Planning, Moore, ed., MIT Press, 1974.

"Multiattribute Preference Analysis for Transportation Systems Evaluation: Mexico City Airport as a Case Study" (with Keeney), Transportation Research, 7, No. 1, pp. 63-76, 1973.

--Reprinted in Books:

  • Modern Decision Analysis, Kaufman and Thomas, eds., Penguin, England and New York, 1977 
  • Analysis of Public Systems, Drake, Keeney and Morse, eds., MIT Press, 1974 
  • Benefit Cost Analysis Annual, Haveman, Harberger, McKean, Niskanen, and Zeckhauser, eds., Aldine-Atherton, Chicago, 1974.

"Seismic Design Decision Analysis," (with Whitman, Cornell, Brennan, Vanmarcke), ASCE Structural Engineering Journal, 101, No. 575, May, pp. 1067-1084, 1975.

"Decision Analysis for Optimizing the Choice of Fire Protection and Insurance," (with Shpilberg), Journal of Risk and Insurance, 42, No. 1, March, pp. 133-149, 1975.

"Synthesis of Systems Analysis with Engineering Planning and Design," IMPOS Boletin, VI, November-December 1975, pp. 227-270.

"Bidding Models: Effect of Bidder's Risk Aversion," (with Hani and Lesage), ASCE Journal of Construction Division, 103, March 1977, pp. 57-70.

"Choosing Dimensions and Uncertainties of an Evaluation," (with Byer), Formal Methods in Policy Formulation, Derek Bunn and H. Thomas, ed., Birkhauser-Verlag, Basel, 1978, pp.100-122.

"Dam Failure in Benefit/Cost Analysis," (with G. Baecher and M. E. Paté), ASCE Journal of Geotechnical Division, 106, No. GT1, January 1980, pp. 99-105.

"Risk of Dam Failure in Benefit-Cost Analysis," Water Resources Research, 16, No. 3, pp. 449-456, 1980 (with G. Baecher and M.E. Paté).

"Empirical Demonstration that Expected Utility Decision Analysis is not Optimal," (with M. McCord), in Foundations of Utility and Risk Theory with Applications, B. P. Stigum and F. Wenstop, eds., D. Reidel, Holland, 1983, pp. 181-199.

"A Decision Analysis Model When the Substitution Principle is not Acceptable," (with H. Munera), in Foundations of Utility and Risk Theory with Applications, B. P. Stigum and F. Wenstop, eds., D. Reidel, Holland, 1983, pp. 247-262.

"Fundamental Deficiency of Expected Utility Decision Analysis," (with M. McCord), in Multiobjective Decision-Making, S. French, R. Hartley, L.C. Thomas and D. J. White, eds., Academic Press, London and New York, 1983, pp. 279-305.

"Utility Dependence on Probability: An Empirical Demonstration," (with M. McCord), Journal of Large-Scale Systems, Vol. 6, pp. 91-103, 1984.

Unreliable Measurement of Utility: Significant Problems for Decision Analysis, in Operational Research '84, J. P. Brans, ed. Elsevier, Holland, 1984, pp. 464-476.

"Assessment Response Surface: Investigating utility dependence on probability" (with McCord), Theory and Decision, 1985,18, pp. 263-285.

"Lottery Equivalents: Reduction of the Certainty Effect Problem in Utility Assessment (with McCord), Management Science, 1986, 32, pp. 56-60.

"Exploration of the Influence of Certainty and Probability 'Effects' on the Measurement of Utility" (with Ph. Delquié) Foundations of Utility and Risk Proceedings, 1986 (also available in French).

" 'Certainty Effects' and the Perception of Risk," (with P. Delquié) Operations Research Conference, Miami, 1986.

"A Model of the Influence of Certainty and Probability "Effects" on the Measurement of Utility," (with Ph. Delquié) Risk, Decision and Rationality, B. Munier, ed., D. Reidel, Dordrecht, Holland, pp. 189-205, 1988.

"Materials Selection - Maximizing Overall Utility," (with F. Field), Metals and Materials, June, 1988, pp. 378-382.

--Reprinted in:

Gérer le Risque, Vol.1, 1988, Les Cahiers du Collège des Ingénieurs, Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées, pp. 63-73.

"Response Modes and Inconsistencies in Preference Assessments," (with P. Delquié) Proceedings 1989 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, Cambridge, MA, Nov. pp. 1132-35.

"Inconsistencies in Utility Assessment and Preference Matching" (with P. Delquié) Proceedings, FUR IV 1989, Budapest, Kluwer, Dordrecht, Holland, 1991, pp. 145-153.

"Risk and Need-for-work Premiums in Contractor Bidding," (with D. King) ASCE Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, Dec., pp. 659-673, 1991.

"Improving Contractors' Bids by exploiting the 'Preference Reversal' Phenomenon", (with J. T. Smith) ASCE Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, Vol.120, No 4, Dec., pp. 706-719, 1994.

Defining Markets for New Materials -- Developing a Utility Methodology with Case Application
Richard de Neufville, Christophe Mangin, Frank Field and Joel Clark - Resources Policy, Vol. 21, No.3, pp.169-178,  September 1995

A Dynamic Technology Strategy for Xerox to Respond to the Threat of High-Tech Commoditization
Richard de Neufville and Ali Pirnar - International Journal of Technology Management, Vol.18,  No.1/2, pp.73-92, 1999

Dynamic Strategic Planning for Technology Policy
Richard de Neufville - International Journal of Technology Management, Vol.19, No.3/4/5,  pp.225-245, 2000

Hybrid Real Options Valuation of Risky Product Development Projects
Richard de Neufville and James Neely - International Journal of Technology, Policy and Management, Vol.1, No.1, pp.29-46, Jan. 2001

Real Options: Dealing With Uncertainty In Systems Planning And Design
Richard de Neufville - 5th. International Conference on "Technology Policy and Innovation", paper for presentation, June, 2001

 

Transportation Systems Planning and Design

"Investment Strategies for Developing Areas: Models of Transport," (with Hoffmeister and Shpilberg) MIT Department of Civil Engineering R-72-48, Prepared for US Dept. of Transportation, Office of the Asst. Secy. for Policy and International Affairs, 1972.

"Optimizing the Supply of Inland Water Transport" (with Hoffmeister), ASCE Water Resources Journal, 99, WW3, August, pp. 293-308, 1973.

"Role of Systems Analysis in Transportation Curricula," Highway Research Record, 463, September, pp. 18-26, 1973.

"Consolidation of Urban Goods Movements: A Critical Analysis" (with Wilson and Faeroes), Transportation Research Record, No. 496, September, pp. 16-27, 1974.

--Reprinted in Book: Transportation Facilities, Kraft and Irwin, eds., American Society of Civil Engineers, pp. 426-449, 1975.

"Productivity and Returns to Scale of Container Ports," (with K. Tsunokawa), Maritime Policy and Management, Vol. 8, No. 2, April-June 1981, pp. 121-129.

"Use of Computer Mapping in Transportation," Traffic Science, (Journal of the Traffic Science Society of Osaka), Vol.20, no.2, pp. 71-72, 1991. (in Japanese).

"Spatial Decision Support Systems for Transportation," Express-ways and Automobiles, Vol.34, no.5, pp. 50-53, 1991 (in Japanese).

"The Electric Car Unplugged", (with S. Connors, F. R. Field, D. Marks, D. R. Sadoway, and R. Tabors), Technology Review, January, pp. 30-36, 1996.

"Quell'auto con le batterie scariche," (with S. Connors, F. R. Field, D. Marks, D. R. Sadoway, and R. Tabors), Technology Review, editzione italiana, April/May, No. 90-91, pp. 22-29, 1996.

"Alternative Fuels for Tomorrow's Cars," Proceedings, World Methanol Conference, Tampa, FL, 1997, pp. 199 -214.

"Lifecycle Model of Alternative Fuel Vehicles: Emissions, Energy and Cost Tradeoffs," (with Jeremy Hackney), Transportation Research, Vol. 33, No.3, pp. 67-91, 2001.

 

Technology and Policy

"How Should We Establish Public Policy of Setting Design Codes or Performance Standards?" Proceedings, National Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Ann Arbor, MI, 1976.

"The Political Rationality of Federal Transportation Policy," Research in Law and Economics, (with A. Friedlander), 1, 1979, pp. 97-114.

"La pluridisciplinarité aux USA," Arches, No.2, June 1981, pp. 18-21.

"Technologie et Politique aux Etats-Unis," Cahiers du SEFI, 1985, pp. 221-224.

"MIT Technology and Policy Program - A Case Study of Success," Proceedings of Conference on State of STS Programs, Worcester Polytechnic Institute, 1987.

"A Policy for Technology Leadership" (with Jennifer Croissant) Journal of the Urban and Regional Information Systems Association, Vol. 2, No.2, pp. 7-15, 1990.

"Can we do Technology Policy without Technology?" in "What can be done? What should be done?", Proc. NISTEP Conference on Science and Technology Policy Research, H. Inose et al, eds., Mita Press, Tokyo, pp. 379-384, 1991.

"International Education in Science and Technology Policy -- a draft assessment", in "What can be Done? What Should be Done?" Proc. of 2nd. NISTEP International Conference on Science and Technology Policy Research, Mita Press, Tokyo, pp. 25-259,1992.

"Report of the Visiting Committee for Technology Policy," Association of Universities in the Netherlands (VSNU), Utrecht, the Netherlands (with H. Beckers, P. Ester, R. Smits, C. Terlouw, and A. Agterberg), especially Chap.3, "International Overview", December 1997.

"Education in Technology, Policy and Management for the 21st Century," Special Issue, International Journal of Technology, Policy and Management, Vol. 1, No.2, June 2001, Guest Editor (with Manuel Heitor).

"Technology/Management/Policy: the Emerging Curriculum for Engineering," International Journal of Technology, Policy and Management, Vol. 1, No.2, June 2001, pp.117-127.

   
Books by Richard de Neufville

 
Richard de Neufville

Contact info:

Richard de Neufville
77 Massachusetts Ave.
Building E40-245
Cambridge, MA 02139-4307

Phone: 617.253.7694
Email to: ardent "at" mit.edu

 

 

         
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