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  Introduction: Learn more:

Short Takes on the Literature - In the burgeoning literature on engineering systems and related fields, we can all use some navigational aids. To that end, the ESD Working Paper series introduces a new feature "Short Takes on the Literature" in which brief informal commentaries by MIT people on books, reports and papers in our field are made available to the community. We hope you find these of value and will also see fit to contribute your own opinions on the literature as well.

List of Papers for 2009:
(in reverse chronological order)

ESD-WP-2009-06 Measuring and Understanding Hierarchy as an Architectural Element in Industry Sectors

Jianxi Luo
Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Daniel E. Whitney
Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Carliss Y. Baldwin
Harvard Business School

Christopher L. Magee
Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Hierarchy is a generic structure in which levels are asymmetrically ordered. In an industry setting, classic supply chains display strict hierarchy, whereas clusters of firms have linkages going in many different directions. Previous theory has often assumed the existence of the hierarchical relationships among firms and empirical work has focused on a single level of an industry or bilateral relationships. However, quantitative evidence on the deep hierarchy in large industrial sectors is lacking. In this paper, we develop metrics and methods to define and measure the degree of hierarchy in transactional relationships among firms, and apply the methods to two large industrial sectors in Japan: automotive and electronics. We compiled the networks of firms connected by transactional relationships. Our empirical analysis shows that the automotive sector exhibits a higher degree of hierarchy than the electronics sector. We further analyze the differences in hierarchy using a simulation model based on transaction breadth and transaction specificity. The empirical measurement and model analysis together indicate that it is the low transaction specificity that drives down the degree of hierarchy in the electronics sector. Differences in transaction patterns in turn may result from the differences in the power level of underlying technologies, which affect product specificity and asset specificity. Thus, the degree of hierarchy in an industry sector may be traced back to fundamental properties of the underlying technologies.

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ESD-WP-2009-05 Framework for the Analysis of the Adaptability, Extensibility, and Scalability of Semantic Information Integration and the Context Mediation Approach

by Thomas Gannon
MITRE Corporation

Stuart Madnick
Sloan School of Management, MIT

Allen Moulton
Sloan School of Management, MIT

Michael Siegel
Sloan School of Management, MIT

Marwan Sabbouh
MITRE Corporation

Hongwei Zhu
Old Dominion University

Technological advances such as Service Oriented Architecture (SOA) have increased the feasibility and importance of effectively integrating information from an ever widening number of systems within and across enterprises. A key difficulty of achieving this goal comes from the pervasive heterogeneity in all levels of information systems. A robust solution to this problem needs to be adaptable, extensible, and scalable. In this paper, we identify the deficiencies of traditional semantic integration approaches. The COntext INterchange (COIN) approach overcomes these deficiencies by declaratively representing data semantics and using a mediator to create the necessary conversion programs from a small number of conversion rules. The capabilities of COIN is demonstrated using an example with 150 data sources, where COIN can automatically generate the over 22,000 conversion programs needed to enable semantic interoperability using only six parametizable conversion rules. This paper presents a framework for evaluating adaptability, extensibility, and scalability of semantic integration approaches. The application of the framework is demonstrated with a systematic evaluation of COIN and other commonly practiced approaches..

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ESD-WP-2009-04 Technology Forecasting Using Data Mining and Semantics: First Annual Report

by Wei Lee Woon
Masdar Institute of Science and Technology, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Stuart Madnick
Sloan School of Management, MIT

Ayse Firat
Doctoral Candidate, Engineering Systems, MIT

Blaine Ziegler
Doctoral Candidate, Electrical Eng. & Computer Sci., MIT

Satwik Seshasai
Doctoral Candidate, Engineering Systems, MIT

The planning and management of research and development is a challenging process which is compounded by the large amounts of information which is available. The goal of this project is to mine science and technology databases for patterns and trends which facilitate the formation of research strategies. Examples of the types of information sources which we exploit are diverse and include academic journals, patents, blogs and news stories. The intended outputs of the project include growth forecasts for various technological sectors (with an emphasis on sustainable energy), an improved understanding of the underlying research landscape, as well as the identification of influential researchers or research groups.

This paper focuses on the development of techniques to both organize and visualize the data in a way which reflects the semantic relationships between keywords. We studied the use of the joint term frequencies of pairs of keywords, as a means of characterizing this semantic relationship – this is based on the intuition that terms which frequently appear together are more likely to be closely related. Some of the results reported herein describe: (1) Using appropriate tools and methods, exploitable patterns and information can certainly be extracted from publicly available databases, (2) Adaptation of the Normalized Google Distance (NGD) formalism can provide measures of keyword distances that facilitate keyword clustering and hierarchical visualization, (3) Further adaptation of the NGD formalism can be used to provide an asymmetric measure of keyword distances to allow the automatic creation of a keyword taxonomy, and (4) Adaptation of the Latent Semantic Approach (LSA) can be used to identify concepts underlying collections of keywords..

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ESD-WP-2009-03 Reconciliation of temporal semantic heterogeneity in evolving information systems

by Hongwei Zhu
College Business and Public Administration, Old Dominion University

Stuart Madnick
Sloan School of Management, MIT

The change in meaning of data over time poses significant challenges for the use of that data. These challenges exist in the use of an individual data source and are further compounded with the integration of multiple sources. In this paper, we identify three types of temporal semantic heterogeneity. We propose a solution based on extensions to the Context Interchange framework, which has mechanisms for capturing semantics using ontology and temporal context. It also provides a mediation service that automatically reconciles semantic conflicts. We show the feasibility of this approach with a prototype that implements a subset of the proposed extensions.

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ESD-WP-2009-02 Preventing Accidents and Building a Culture of Safety: Insights from a Simulation Model

by John Lyneis
Sloan School of Management, MIT

Stuart Madnick
Sloan School of Management, MIT

Research has approached the topic of safety in organizations from a number of different perspectives. On the one hand, psychological research on safety climate gives evidence for a range of organizational factors that predict safety across organizations. On the other hand, organizational learning theorists view safety as a dynamic problem in which organizations must learn from mistakes. Here, we synthesize these two streams of research by incorporating key organizational factors from the safety climate literature into a dynamic simulation model that also includes the possibility for learning. Analysis of simulation results sheds insight into the nature of reliability and confirms the dangers of over-reliance on ‘single loop learning’ as a mechanism for controlling safety behaviors. Special emphasis is placed on strategies that managers might use to encourage learning and prevent erosion in safety behaviors over time.

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ESD-WP-2009-01 Does Geographic Clustering Still Benefit High Tech New Ventures? The Case of the Cambridge/Boston Biotech Cluster

by Thomas J. Allen
MIT Engineering Systems Division

Ornit Raz
Research Affiliate, MIT Engineering Systems Division

Peter Gloor
Research Scientist, MIT Center for Collective Intelligence

An empirical study of scientific communication among biotechnology companies supports the belief that geographic clustering does produce increased scientific exchange among companies. A comparison of companies within a constrained geographic area with those more dispersed shows a significantly higher level of scientific communication among the former. Scientific communication declines rapidly with plupical separation.

Critical of the formation of cluster – based scientific communication networks is the presence of both universities and large firms from the same industry.

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