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Transcript

Brunel Lecture Series on Complex Systems
MIT Engineering Systems Division

Educating Engineers for 2020 and Beyond

Charles M. Vest
MIT
October 12, 2006

Introduction
It is a great honor and privilege to be asked by my faculty colleagues to deliver this year’s Brunel Lecture, and to be the beneficiary of Frank Davidson’s vision and gift that makes this possible. This is a very nice counter to Jerry Wiesner’s comment that retired MIT presidents are “forgotten but not gone.” My talk has its origin in an article that I wrote for The Bridge, the magazine of the National Academy of Engineering, but I have tried to expand and update it in useful ways.

It is especially a privilege to deliver the Brunel Lecture this year because 2006 is the 200th anniversary of Brunel’s birth. As Joel has noted, I. K. Brunel was the highest exemplar of engineering in 19th century – the century of the Industrial Revolution and the Century of Steel. Most of my career as a student, professor, and academic administrator was played out in the 20th century – the Century of Physics, Electronics, Communications, and High-Speed Transportation. But we all – and especially our students -- now have the privilege of living through the transition to the 21st century – presumably the Century of Biology and Information.

As this transition occurs, it surely is an appropriate time to think about the nature of engineering education. And because engineering education is an increasingly complex and global undertaking at a time when the population of the United States will become 300 million any day now, and in a century when the earth’s population may approach 9 billion, it does qualify as a large complex system.

So all is in order except for one thing. I question my qualifications to discuss the subject, because I can see its future at best through a glass darkly, while our students and younger faculty undoubtedly see it much more clearly and have a much better knowledge and experience base from which to approach the topic. Thus before you take me seriously on this topic, you should talk with colleagues like Angie Belcher who’s students use viruses to grow batteries; Neil Gershenfeld whose digital fabrication course “How to Make Almost Anything” builds a new kind of technological literacy; Amy Smith whose students do engineering and design for the developing world. These and so many other young colleagues at MIT know far more about what engineering students need to prepare for 2020 than I do.

I would also note that this caveat is entirely consistent with what our colleague Glenn Strehle said to me when I announced that I was stepping down from the MIT presidency. “Well,” he said, “then you will become a retired university president – someone who goes around giving talks about all the problems with higher education that you didn’t fix when you could have!”

I plead guilty.

When I look back over my 35-plus years as an engineering educator, I realize that many things have changed remarkably, but others seem not to have changed at all. Issues that have been with us for the past 35 years include: how to make the freshman year more exciting; how to communicate what engineers actually do; how to improve the writing and communication skills of engineering graduates; how to bring the richness of American diversity into the engineering workforce; how to give students a basic understanding of business processes; and how to get students to think about professional ethics and social responsibility. But for the most part, things have changed in astounding ways. We have moved from slide rules to calculators to PCs to wireless laptops. Just think of all that implies.

Looking ahead to 2020, a mere 14 years, and setting goals should be a “piece of cake.” But to gain some perspective, look back, and think about what was not going on in 1990. There was no World Wide Web. Cell phones and wireless communication were in the embryonic stage. The big challenge was the inability of the American manufacturing sector to compete in world markets; Japan was about to bury us economically. The human genome had not been sequenced. There were no carbon nanotubes. Buckminster Fullerines had been around for about five years. We hadn’t even begun to inflate the dot-com bubble, let alone watch it burst. And terrorism was something that happened in other parts of the world.

So predicting the future, or even setting meaningful goals, is risky, even on a scale of a mere 15 years or so. Years ago, I read a study that Gerard O’Neil of Princeton made of predictions of the future and found one simple constant—we always underestimate the rate of technological change and overestimate the rate of social change (O’Neil, 1981). That is an important lesson for engineering educators. We educate and train the men and women who drive technological change, but we sometimes forget that they must work in an evolving social, economic, and political context.

Opportunity and Challenge
I envy the next generation of engineering students because this is the most exciting period in human history for science and engineering. Exponential advances in knowledge, instrumentation, communication, and computational capabilities have created mind-boggling possibilities, and students are cutting across traditional disciplinary boundaries in unprecedented ways. Indeed, the distinction between science and engineering in some domains has been blurred to extinction, which raises some serious issues for engineering education.

As we think about the challenges ahead, it is important to remember that students are driven by passion, curiosity, engagement, and dreams. Although we cannot know exactly what they should be taught, we can focus on the environment in which they learn and the forces, ideas, inspirations, and empowering situations to which they are exposed. Despite our best efforts to plan their education, however, to a large extent we simply wind them up, step back, and watch the amazing things they do.

In the long run, making universities and engineering schools exciting, creative, adventurous, rigorous, demanding, and empowering milieus is more important than specifying curricular details. In fact, that is my primary message.

It is important that we ourselves as well as the public and those who finance our work understand that over time what research universities do in engineering and science have huge impact on society. Consider a brief list of major innovations in which universities played the sole or major role: Computing, the laser, the Internet, GPS fundamentals, Numerically–controlled machines, the World Wide Web’s organization and deployment, Financial engineering, the genetic revolution and indeed modern medicine. These are important things for which we educate students, and indeed in which our students participate.

Following the guidance of Vannevar Bush’s famous report Science the Endless Frontier, our universities have been the primary U.S. infrastructure for research since 1945. Certainly this has been the case for fundamental research having long time horizons. But throughout the 19060s and 1970s corporations also made major contributions to what we might term the “science and engineering commons” – the open, shared base of scientific and technological knowledge. In many fields this industry role has changed dramatically.

Bob Lucky, former corporate vice president of Telcordia, (following a distinguished career at Bell Labs and Belcore) recently studied the authorship of papers published in the IEEE Transactions on Communications. In 1970, 70 percent of the authors were from U.S. industry and 8 percent were from U.S. universities. In 2005, researchers from U.S. industry authored only 8 percent of the papers. 47 percent had U.S. academic authorship. So the role of industry in this research area had dropped from dominance to nearly zero, and the total U.S. contribution had dropped from almost 80 percent to about half of the total. This is emblematic of important trends in many – though not all – fields of engineering and science, that emphasize the critical importance of advanced education and research in our universities.

Globalization
When we look to engineering in 2020 and beyond, we have to ask basic questions about future engineers—who they will be, what they will do, where they will do it, why they will do it, and what this implies for engineering education in the United States and elsewhere. In the future, American engineers will constitute a smaller and smaller fraction of the profession, as more and more engineers are educated and work in other nations, especially in Asia and South Asia. In the future, all engineers will practice in national settings and in global organizations, including corporations with headquarters in the United States. They will see engineering as an exciting career, a personal upward path, and a way to affect local economic well-being.

Many universities around the world that are preparing for accelerating globalization especially in Asia and South Asia strike me as overly utilitarian, with laser focus on advancing economies and research. I am reminded of a two-day meeting at Harvard seven years ago of a delegation of presidents of American universities and the presidents of seven Chinese universities that had been chosen to be developed into world-class research universities. Among the Americans were a Renaissance scholar, an economist, a political scientist, a linguist, a mechanical engineer, and, I believe, a lawyer. Among the Chinese university presidents were six physicists and one engineer who had become a computer scientist. I tell this as part of the story to illustrate the tectonic changes taking place in the way engineers are being produced and in where engineering and research and development (R&D) are being done.

From the U.S. perspective, globalization is not a choice, but a reality. Our companies already know this. To them global operations are old hat, but it often seems that the public and the body politick are still largely in denial of this reality—a very dangerous situation. If we continue to deny the realities of globalization or, worse yet, retreat into protectionism, then we won’t do the very things that will enable us to lead and benefit from this brave new world.

To compete in world markets in the so-called “knowledge age,” we cannot depend on geography, natural resources, cheap labor, or military might. We will only thrive on brainpower, organization, and innovation. Even agriculture, the one area in which the United States has traditionally been the low-cost producer, is undergoing a revolution that depends on information technology and biotechnology, that is, brainpower and innovation.

To succeed, we must do two things: (1) discover new scientific knowledge and technological potential through research; and (2) drive high-end, sophisticated technology faster and better than anyone else. We must make new discoveries, innovate continually, and support the most sophisticated industries. We must also continue to bring new products and services to market faster and better than anyone else, and we must design, produce, and deliver to serve world markets. We must recognize that there are natural global flows in industry; thus, the manufacture of many goods will inevitably move from country to country according to their state of development. Manufacturing may start in the United States, then move to Taiwan, then to Korea, and then to China or India, and on to Viet Nam. These manufacturing migrations will occur faster and faster and will pose enormous challenges to our nation.

These migrations are indeed large. It is estimated that between 2000 and 2003, foreign firms built 60,000 manufacturing plants in China [Palmisano Foreign Affairs]. In 2004 chemical companies closed 70 facilities in the U.S. and have tagged 40 more for shutdown. And of the 120 chemical plants currently being built around the world with price tags exceeding $1 billion, one is in the United States and 50 are in China [RAGS].

Actually, the situation is far more complicated and far more profound than just the churning and shifting of manufacturing locations. Many, including me, believe that the entire nature of the innovation ecosystem and business enterprise is changing dramatically, and in ways that are not yet fully understood. The concept of “open innovation” championed by Harry Chesbrough of the Harvard Business School; the creative removal of constraints whose importance has been emphasized by Richard Lester and Michale Piore; the importance of connectivity and continual learning across multiple networked companies and organizations noted by John Hagel and John Seeley Brown; and the increasing dispersion of corporate R&D around the world are all harbingers and descriptions of major change.

Because of pervasive high-speed Internet connectivity and the World Wide Web, one can be a successful entrepreneur and global player whether one is in Bangalore or Bethesda, because everything is just a mouse click away. So said Tom Friedman when he vividly called the public attention to the “flat world.”

A even bolder and broader conceptualization was recently set forth by IBM CEO Sam Palmisano in an article in Foreign Affairs explaining that businesses are transforming into globally integrated enterprises – a fundamental evolution beyond the multinational corporation. All of this is to suggest that organizations of all shapes and sizes that can add value to the production and deployment of goods and services can and will be linked and integrated in ways that maximize quality and efficiency, and minimizing cost – regardless of their size or location.

I certainly do not claim to understand all of this, but it seems clear that new paradigms are emerging. They will require rethinking of the policy environment, and they certainly require deep reconsideration of the nature of engineering education and its integration with other fields, as well as its international content. I believe that our goal in doing so should not only be to educate engineers to lead and succeed in a changing world, but also to play a role in ensuring that globalization becomes an opportunity – not a threat.

Meeting these challenges will require an accelerated commitment to engineering research and education. Research universities and their engineering schools will have to do many things simultaneously: advance the frontiers of fundamental science and technology; advance interdisciplinary work and learning; develop a new, broad approach to engineering systems; focus on technologies that address the most important problems facing the world; and recognize the global nature of all things technological.

Scale and Complexity
There are two frontiers of engineering, each of which has to do with scale and each of which is associated with increasing complexity. One frontier has to do with smaller and smaller spatial scales together with faster and faster time scales – the world of so-called “bio/nano/info.” This frontier, which has to do with the melding of physical, life, and information sciences, offers stunning, unexplored possibilities. The natural forces of this frontier compel faculty and students to obliterate traditional disciplinary boundaries. This frontier meets the criterion of inspiring and exciting students. And out of this world will come products and processes that will drive a new round of entrepreneurship…based on things you can drop on your toe and feel (although they may be very light) —real products that meet the real needs of real people.

The other frontier – the “macro” world – has to do with larger and larger systems of great complexity and, generally, of great importance to society. This is the world of energy, environment, food, manufacturing, product development, logistics, and communications. This frontier addresses some of the most daunting challenges to the future of the world. If we do our jobs right, these challenges will also resonate with our students.

New Systems Engineering
This brings me to the topic of engineering systems.

I first heard the related term “systems engineering” as a graduate student in a seminar about the Vanguard missile—the United States’ first, ill-fated attempt to counter Sputnik by putting a grapefruit-sized satellite into space. An embarrassing number of Vanguards started to climb and then blew up, which Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev found amusing. In fact, the Vanguard rocket was assembled from excellent components, but it was designed with insufficient knowledge of how the components would interface and interact with each other. As a result, heat, electrical fields, and so on, played havoc with them. The system needed to be engineered. I found this very interesting, but then, like most students of that era, I left that seminar and continued to pursue a career in engineering science.

Today, many of our colleagues believe we should develop a new field of systems engineering and that it should be central to engineering education in the decades ahead. In 1998, MIT established an Engineering Systems Division, which reflected a growing awareness of the social and intellectual importance of complex engineered systems. At the time, a large number of faculty members in our School of Engineering and other schools at MIT were already engaged in research on engineering systems, and MIT had launched some important educational initiatives at the master’s and doctoral levels. The Engineering Systems Division, which provides administrative and programmatic coherence for these activities, is intended to stimulate further development.

MIT, of course, is famous for spearheading “engineering science,” which revolutionized engineering in the post-World War II era. In fact, in my view, the pivotal moment in MIT’s history was when President Karl Compton asserted that we could not be a great engineering institution if we did not also have great science. This realization started us on a path that ultimately led to the engineering science revolution.

Another pivotal moment in MIT’s history occurred half a century ago when a faculty commission (headed by Warren K. Lewis) considering the nature of our educational programs told us we had to develop strong programs in the humanities and social sciences (Committee on Educational Survey, 1949). Perhaps, the greatly enriched intellectual environment of MIT that grew following the Lewis Commission set us on a path toward the twenty-first-century view of engineering systems, which surely is not based solely on physics and chemistry. Engineers of today and tomorrow must be prepared to conceive and direct projects of enormous complexity that require a highly integrative perspective and skill set.

Academics led the way in engineering science, but I don’t think we have led the way in systems engineering. In fact, as we observe developments in industry, government, and society, we are asking what in the world we should teach our students. We need to establish a proper intellectual framework within which to study, understand, and develop large, complex engineered systems. As National Academy of Engineering president Bill Wulf (2004) has warned us in a cogent address on ethical issues in engineering, we work every day with systems so complex that we cannot know all of their possible end states. Under those circumstances, how can we ensure that they are safe, reliable, and resilient? In other words, how can we practice engineering?

Something exciting is happening, however, and it comes none too soon. Biologists and neuroscientists have reframed much of their work to address the full glory and immense complexity of even the simplest living systems. Engineers and computer scientists are suddenly as indispensable to research in the life sciences as the most brilliant reductionist biologists. The language in the life sciences today is about circuits, networks, and pathways. Indeed, computer scientists and electrical engineers are at the very core of the emerging field of synthetic biology. And speaking of synthetic biology, the newly minted term “biohacking” does have a certain special resonance to MIT ears, doesn’t it?

It also is fascinating to participate in discussions of the role of science and engineering in R&D on homeland security, or, more generally, on antiterrorism, which I think of as the “Mother of All Systems Problems.” Designing systematic strategies to protect against terrorism has about as much in common with protecting ourselves from the Soviet threat of just a few years ago as it does with strategizing against eighteenth-century British troops marching in orderly file against the agile and dispersed American colonials.

Here’s another example of systems engineering. Consider what IBM vice president for research, Paul Horn, is thinking about these days. His company and his industry, which produce the ultimate fruit of the engineering science revolution (i.e., computers), are morphing into a new services sector—financial services, manufacturing services, McDonald’s hamburger services. Paul Horn (2005) and many of his colleagues are convinced that a new “services science” is about to emerge. If such a new discipline does appear, it will be a subset of the new systems engineering.

An even greater, and ultimately more important, systems problem than homeland security is the “sustainable development” of human societies on this system of ultimate complexity and fragility we call Earth. In Europe, sustainable development, ill defined though it may be, is part of the everyday thinking of industry and politicians and a common element in political rhetoric—and rhetoric is a start. I am troubled that it barely appears on the radar screen in U.S. politics. Nevertheless, sustainable development must be on our agenda for preparing future engineers.

I believe energy is the key, the sine qua non, to sustainable development, but I have feared that we risk becoming a “can’t do” nation with respect to innovation rather than continuing in the great American “can do” tradition. The federal government has underinvested in engineering and physical sciences, and only nibbled around the edges of long-term energy supply and distribution problems. As a result, we have marginalized the field from the perspective of many bright young men and women. It seems to me that we are in a situation similar to the one we faced in the 1980s when our historically dominant manufacturing sector had become fat, sassy, and then, suddenly, uncompetitive.

We need to recharge corporate, entrepreneurial, and academic R&D, as well as our curricula in energy. We need to make energy an exciting, well-supported, dynamic field that attracts the best and brightest young men and women and gives them opportunities to contribute and to innovate. We made this transition in manufacturing, design, and product development after being knocked down by the Japanese, and we can do it now in the domain of energy, environment, and sustainability. Needless to say, I am very pleased that President Hockfield is challenging and enabling our faculty to forge leadership contributions to new energy technologies.

But the federal government and industry must kick start the change. And it appears that the tide is starting to turn in the private sector. A recent PCAST report indicates “Entrepreneurs with Venture Capital backing and Private Equity firms have become very active in the energy sector recently. The companies that have been formed have based their technology frequently on government-sponsored research performed at our Colleges and Universities. Over 100 recently formed companies have been started with activity in virtually every sector of the energy world. Most of the activity has been in renewable energy such as solar and biofuels, in fuel cells and fuel cell systems, and in energy storage devices such as batteries and super capacitors. In 2005, over $1 Billion was invested in energy start-ups with another large amount by Private Equity firms in project financing for biofuel refineries – estimates are that corn based ethanol refineries alone received $1.6 Billion in investment”.

Furthermore, it is highly likely that the research budget of the Department of Energy will receive a major boost in the year ahead. It’s a start.

Delivery and Pedagogy
So far, I have suggested that engineering students prepared for 2020 and beyond must be excited by their freshman year; must have an understanding of what engineers actually do; must write and communicate well; must appreciate and draw on the richness of American diversity; must think clearly about ethics and social responsibility; must be adept at product development and high-quality manufacturing; must know how to merge the physical, life, and information sciences when working at the micro- and nanoscales; and must know how to conceive, design, and operate engineering systems of great complexity. They must also work within a framework of sustainable development, be creative and innovative, understand business and organizations, and be prepared to live and work as global citizens. That is a tall order…perhaps even an impossible order.

But is it really? I meet kids in the hallways of MIT (and I am sure the same would be true at other universities) who can do all of these things—and more. So we must keep our sights high. But how are we going to accomplish all this teaching and learning? What has stayed constant, and what needs to be changed?

One constant is the need for a sound basis in science, engineering principles, and analytical capabilities. In my view, a strong grounding in the fundamentals is still the most important thing we provide. Also, I am so old fashioned I still believe that masterfully conceived, well delivered lectures are wonderful teaching and learning experiences. They still have their place. . . at least they better have, because we recently built the Stata Center -- a magnificent, whacky, inspirational, and expensive new building designed by Frank Gehry, and—by golly—it has classrooms and lecture halls in it (among other things).

But even I admit there is a good deal of truth in what my extraordinary friend, Murray Gell-Mann, likes to say, “We need to move from the sage on the stage to the guide on the side.” Studio teaching, team projects, open-ended problem solving, experiential learning, engagement in research, and the philosophy of CDIO (conceive/ design/ implement/ operate) should be integral elements of engineering education.
Two obvious things have changed—we now have information technology, and we have the MTV generation, Generation X, and beyond. So I suppose we should provide deep learning through instant gratification. It sounds oxymoronic to me…but it seems to be happening! Actually, the Stata Center is about something like that.

Before I turn to the role of information technology in educating the engineer of 2020, I want to relate an interesting incident. A few years ago, two extraordinarily dedicated MIT alums, Alex and Britt d’Arbeloff, gave a very generous endowment, the d’Arbeloff Fund for Excellence in Education, which was inspired in the first instance by their desire to understand and capitalize on the role of information technology in teaching and learning on a residential campus. We celebrated the establishment of the fund with an intense, day-long, interactive forum on teaching that brought together a large number of our most innovative and talented teachers and a wide range of students.

At the end of that very exciting day, we all looked at each other and realized that nobody had actually talked about computers. Even though information technology is a powerful reality, an indispensable, rapidly developing, empowering tool, computers do not contain the essence of teaching and learning, which are deeply human activities. So we have to keep our means and ends straight.

Information technology is more or less the paper and pencil of the twenty-first century. For engineering students of 2020, it should be like the air they breathe—simply there to be used, a means, not an end. The Internet, World Wide Web, and computers can do two things for engineering schools. First, they can send information outward, beyond the campus boundary. And second, they can bring the external world to the campus. By sending information out, we can teach, or, better yet, provide teaching materials to teachers and learners all over the world. By bringing the world in, we can enrich learning, exploration, and discovery for our students.

Information technology can also create learning communities across time and distance. It can access, display, store, and manipulate unfathomable amounts of information: text, images, video, and sound. It can provide design tools and sophisticated simulations.

In addition, information technology can burn up a lot of money. To reduce the amount, we should take advantage of what the Internet and Web do best—create open environments and share resources and intellectual property across institutions. The goal of MIT’s OpenCourseWare initiative is to make the basic teaching materials for 2,000 MIT courses available on the Web to teachers and learners everywhere, at any time, free of charge. And even more amazing forms of educational sharing are coming. Our remarkable colleague Jesus del Alamo, for example, has established a program called iLab that allows experiments to be run via the Web. He is installing PCs in under-resourced African universities that enable students to log on and operate sophisticated and expensive experimental equipment that is physically located at MIT.

OpenCourseWare and iLab are prime examples of a snowballing global movement toward open resources for education and for scholarly materials emanating initially from the United States and fueled largely by thoughtful support from the Mellon Foundation and the Hewlett Foundation. I think educational openness and global sharing emanating from the United States is a very good exercise in public diplomacy; it contributes to the global common good in new and non-prescriptive ways that are valued by individuals and institutions all over the world. Our nation needs this at this moment in its history.

In my view, openness is creating a global meta-university, a transcendent, accessible, empowering, dynamic, communally constructed framework of Web-based open materials and platforms on which much of higher education worldwide can be either constructed or enhanced. Like the computer operating system LINUX, knowledge creation and teaching at each university will be elevated by the efforts of individuals and groups all over the world. It will rapidly adapt to the changing learning styles of students who have grown up in a computationally rich environment. But the biggest potential winners are clearly in developing nations.

Before leaving the topic of pedagogy and delivery, I would like to make a very personal observation about my own educational experience, and how that informs my view of universities and engineering education.

In 1963 Clark Kerr, the president of the University of California, articulated the rapid metamorphosis of U.S. research universities into something new and different. Campuses sprawled intellectually even as they sprawled physically across the landscape of state after state. As they evolved, they developed a complex web of purposes, and they created increasing tensions between societal utility and what had always been considered to be academic purity.

In the same year that Kerr articulated this, and much more, in the Godkin Lectures at Harvard, I graduated from West Virginia University and immediately headed to Ann Arbor to begin my graduate studies in mechanical engineering at the University of Michigan. What to Kerr, as a leader of his generation, was a somewhat surprising new incarnation of the American research university, was for me a given. MIT, Berkeley, Caltech, Michigan, and Stanford were great magnetic attractors to a young engineering student who was truly a child of the Sputnik era.

This strong personal attraction largely resulted from what I noted earlier is termed the “engineering science revolution.” This revolution was spawned largely by faculty at MIT who, building on their experiences in the MIT Radiation Laboratory during World War II, created a radically different way to practice and teach engineering. The “Rad Lab” had brought together a remarkable group of scientists and engineers to rapidly develop radar, whose key concepts and elements had been invented by the British, into battle hardened systems. A towering legacy of the Rad Lab work was a new world of engineering education that was built on a solid foundation of science more than on traditional macroscopic phenomenology, charts, handbooks, and codes. The new engineering science was research intensive, required an entirely new panoply of textbooks and laboratories, and led and drove change in things ranging from the space program to defense to transportation to telecommunications, computing, and medicine.

MIT under engineering dean Gordon Brown and Stanford under provost Frederic Terman were first movers, and Berkeley, Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, and other institutions were fast followers and strong contributors. This corner of the emerging multiversity was very attractive and exciting.

In short, as a student I learned and worked at the new boundaries of academic engineering, and yet still felt very much a part of the great, centuries old traditions and values of academia. These two aspects of the multiversity did not, and still do not, strike me as inconsistent. Rather the multiversity as I experienced it was a noble and enabling place. What appeared to many to be sources of tension, cross-purposes, and potential conflicts of values and interests were for me a great web or mosaic to be savored and celebrated. It was what I expected a university to be. And, despite the passage of 40 years, it still is.

But there is a larger point here. We are one of the few nations in the world that insist that engineering education is best conducted within an academic environment that ranges far beyond science and technology. So as you As engage students with nanoscale science, large complex systems, product development, sustainability, and business realities, … do not even be tempted to crowd the humanities, arts, and social sciences out of the curriculum. Their integral role in U.S. engineering education differentiates us from much of the rest of the world.

I believe that the humanities, arts, and social sciences are essential to the creative, explorational, open-minded, environment and spirit that is necessary to educate the Engineer of 2020. The humanities help us to understand the broader context of our work, establish the values that should govern our lives, and give us a wondrous multiplicity of perspectives and interpretations of our world. The arts free our thinking and challenge us, and it has been said – accurately in my opinion – that artists see the future before others, and therefore should be indispensable to the strategies and work of technology. The social sciences are increasingly as important a base of the work of many engineers as are the natural sciences.

Danger of Complacency
Despite our decades-long national leadership of almost every aspect of engineering education, we must not be complacent.

In the past 15 years, the number of engineering and computer science B.S. degrees granted in the United States dropped from about 110,000 to a low of 88,000, although it has recently rebounded to about 109,000 (NSB, 2006). This is unlikely to be sufficient going forward, and as our demography changes, we must double and redouble our efforts to make our engineering schools and our profession attractive and fully engaging for women and for currently under-involved minorities. We need equity and full participation in our engineering workforce, our faculties, and our leadership. This is a matter of equity and fairness as well as one of necessity.

In this global knowledge age—with its serious problems and great opportunities—we need the best and brightest to enter engineering schools. And we need a larger percentage of them to earn Ph.D.s in areas of engineering that can lead to innovations that will keep us free, secure, healthy, and thriving within a vibrant economy.

We all know the statistical trends. The United States awards about 220,000 first degrees in science and engineering. China awards almost the same number, about 350,000 first degrees in science and engineering, having grown by almost 120 percent in the last decade. In 2002, Asian countries awarded 635,700 first engineering degrees, European countries awarded 369,700, and North America awarded 122,400.

Let me note parenthetically that there is some uncertainty and indeed controversy about these numbers, but it is clear that the educated engineering workforce in Asia is growing extremely fast and that the U.S. is therefore educating a smaller and smaller percentage of the world’s bachelors-degree engineers.

The United States annually awards about 19,480 doctoral degrees in science and engineering, a number that has remained essentially constant for a decade. China today awards more than 7,500 doctoral degrees annually in science and engineering, an astounding 420 percent increase in one decade.

Statistics are important, but, in my view, the real global challenge in engineering, technology, and innovation leadership is cultural. In Asia today, science and engineering “rule” for young people. These are hot, exciting, and respected fields. In Asian countries, engineering and science are understood to be the path of upward mobility for individuals and for nations. These countries are eager, and they are not ashamed to learn all they can from the very best the world has to offer and then try to improve on it—and we should not want it any other way. They understand competition, and they are learning rapidly about innovation. The United States is still the clear world leader in science and technology, but of all the enemies our country faces, complacency is the one I fear the most.

We may be starting to shake off our national complacency, however. Last fall, the National Academies’ Committee on Prospering in the Global Economy of the Twenty-First Century released its report, Rising Above the Gathering Storm: Energizing and Employing America for a Brighter Future (NRC, 2006). This report outlines a federal agenda to improve K–12 science and mathematics education, strengthen our commitment to long-term basic research, and to make the United States the best place in the world to study, do research, and innovate. The Council on Competitiveness’ framework document, Innovate America (2004), preceded this report. Building on these and other national studies, including two from the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, the president of the United States, in his 2006 State of the Union Address, proposed an American Competitiveness Initiative to begin building momentum for a science, education, and innovation agenda (DPC and OSTP, 2006).

Just two weeks ago, despite the current broiling sea of partisanship, Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist and Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid announced that they would co-sponsor the National Competitiveness Investment Act and take it up on the Senate floor following the election recess. The draft bill from which this is derived had 70 co-sponsors – 35 Republicans and 35 Democrats. If this Act is passed, and if the House of Representatives joins the effort, it would be a major step in implementing the recommendations of the Augustine Committee’s recommendations enumerated in Rising Above the Gathering Storm, and would expand President Bush’s American Competitiveness Initiative.

This hopeful momentum comes none too soon. This month the European Union established a broad-based innovation strategy with ten priority actions. Priority no. 1 is to establish innovation friendly education systems. Priority no. 2 is to establish a European Institute of Technology. And last summer, President Hu Jintao of the Peoples Republic of China gave a remarkable speech to the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the Chinese Academy of Engineering in which he outlined China’s implementation of its National Mid- and Long-Term Science & Technology Development Plan. Its content is very much like that of Rising Above the Gathering Storm.

Now I have no idea how completely or how rapidly either China or Europe will actually meet their objectives, but we in the U.S. should let no grass grow under our feet.

Conclusion
In closing, as I said earlier, my primary advice regarding engineering education is that making universities and engineering schools exciting, creative, adventurous, rigorous, demanding, and empowering milieus is more important than specifying curricular details. As we develop the concept of a new curriculum and new pedagogy and try to attract and interest students in nanoscale science, large complex systems, product development, sustainability, and business realities, we must resist the temptation to crowd the humanities, arts, and social sciences out of the curriculum. The point of my referring to the meeting of American and Chinese university presidents was to demonstrate the integral role of these subjects in U.S. engineering education. In this respect, we are different from much of the rest of the world. I believe the humanities, arts, and social sciences are essential to the creative, explorative, open-minded environment and spirit necessary to educate the engineer of 2020.

American research universities, with their integration of learning, discovery, and doing, can still provide the best environment for educating engineers…if we support, sustain, and challenge them. They must retain their fundamental rigor and discipline but also provide opportunities for as many undergraduates as possible to participate in research teams, perform challenging work in industry, and gain substantive professional experience in other countries.

My secret wish, which I hope will play out on the time scale of the next 15 years or so, is that cognitive neuroscience will catch up with information technology and give us a deeper understanding of the nature of experiential learning—a real science of learning. Then we might see a quantum leap, a true transformation in education. In the meantime, we must see to it that the best and brightest young American men and women become our students and, therefore, become the engineers of 2020 and beyond. We simply cannot afford to fail.

References
Committee on Educational Survey. 1949. Report of the Committee on Educational Survey to the Faculty of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Cambridge, Mass.: Technology Press.

Council on Competitiveness. 2004. Innovate America: Thriving in a World of Challenge and Change. Washington, D.C.: Council on Competitiveness. Available online.

DPC (Domestic Policy Council) and OSTP (Office of Science and Technology Policy). 2006. American Competitiveness Initiative: Leading the World in Innovation. Available online.

Horn, P. The New Discipline of Services Science. Business Week Online, January 21, 2005. Available online.

O’Neil, G. 1981. Year 2081: A Hopeful View of the Human Future. New York.: Simon and Schuster.

Wulf, W.A. 2004. Keynote Address. Pp. 1–8 in Emerging Technologies and Ethical Issues in Engineering: Papers from a Workshop, October 14–15, 2003. Washington, D.C.: National Academies Press.

NRC (National Research Council). 2006. Rising Above the Gathering Storm: Energizing and Employing America for a Brighter Economic Future. Washington, D.C.: National Academies Press. Available online.

NSB (National Science Board). 2006. Science and Engineering Indicators 2006. Arlington, Va.: National Science Foundation. Available online.

 

 
Charles M. Vest

Charles M. Vest,
President Emeritus, MIT

 

         
MIT SoE MIT Sloan School of Management MIT School of Science SHASS SA+P